:Quarterly Commentary
QUARTER ENDING december 31, 2011
Overview Statement
The tone in the fourth quarter 2011 was one in which has become all too
familiar. Rates were low, quality paper at a decent rate was a
preciously rare commodity, and Europe was the 800 pound gorilla around
which we treaded ever so lightly. Through it all, however, our credit
process has remained the cornerstone of our conservative investment
philosophy that has kept our funds stable while providing daily
liquidity without interruption. The 2011 stage carries over into 2012 as
the expectation for a prolonged low interest rate environment is evident
and real. And while the 2012 environment looks quite the same for money
funds, we are greeting it with another year’s worth of invaluable
knowledge, experience, and conclusions to frame our strategy, which puts
us in a stronger position to deliver increased value to our
shareholders.
Economy
The economy continues to inch forward but just cannot seem to get
out of its own way. While the stock market at times has given us reason
to believe we are back, the usual suspects of high unemployment, weak
housing market, and restricted business lending held us in check. It
appears as if the unemployment rate has improved, however, it is likely
not representative of the reality, as it does not factor in the
multitude of individuals that have ceased looking for work and whose
state benefits have run their course. Companies are surviving with fewer
employees, have installed new fiscally conscious expense reduction
mandates, and are embracing innovation to drive increased productivity.
While these are the quintessential attributes of sound business
practices that typically bolster competition, the lack of loan growth,
particularly in small businesses, is weighing heavily on new job
creation. The causal effect of job creation is a pickup in spending, and
an increase in the pool of qualified applicants to hasten the pace of
personal loan growth and mortgages that will billow the embers of the
smoldering housing market. A focus on job creation is paramount and
needs to occur on a consistent basis to resuscitate the economy and
jumpstart the growth cycle once again.
The problems amongst the various European economies remain the focal point of global investors and money managers alike. Europe’s prolonged issues, along with few productive economic reforms, keeps us painfully aware that what may well hang in the balance is the eventual negative effect on the U.S. economy. We keep a careful watch on Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) activity and the “what ifs” around the potential for additional quantitative easing (QE3), which has clearly not been ruled out. The FOMC’s opinions on it are far from unanimous, however, the theme of utilizing a QE3 strategy to purchase mortgage securities to assist the ailing housing market seems to be bubbling up as their selling point to the American public. If they are successful in that regard, they will then have to do an even better job of selling us on what will be done about possible increased inflationary pressures with a still unacceptable unemployment rate. The dark horses in this race are about a half dozen Fed Presidents that are calling for an interest rate hike as early as this year or sometime in 2013 if the economy continues to improve. Obviously, we will be paying close attention to these Fed hawks and plan accordingly should we make the earlier than expected turn to higher interest rates. In the mean time, we are buckled in with the expectation that rates will remain where they are for at least the better part of this year.
Portfolio Management
We have factored into our 6-month strategy that rates will remain stable
over the short-term. In normal circumstances this would lead to a clear
extension of maturities within the portfolios in search of more
attractive opportunities for yield. However, normalcy in the global
markets continues to evade us, therefore, we have been steadfast in
maintaining appropriate and deliberate weighted average maturities (WAMs)
to provide liquidity should there be further deterioration in Europe,
stoking investor fear regarding their money fund holdings, whether real
or perceived.
Portfolio Transparency
At the risk of sounding cliché, the best defense to this conundrum in
the money fund space is a strong offense—in the form of education and
transparency. Reich & Tang continues to lead by example and advocate for
shareholders by offering complete transparency in our prime portfolios.
To date, Reich & Tang is the only fund company that we are aware of that
shares both its portfolio holdings and approved issuer list on a daily
basis with both shareholders and prospective shareholders. This
underscores our confidence in our stringent credit process while
providing full disclosure for shareholders to see what they own on a
daily basis, and what their portfolio could own in the immediate or near
term—after all, it is their money, not ours. This unprecedented level of
transparency creates an even playing field for all investor types, and
enhances and expedites the due diligence process to quickly determine
the suitability of our funds to shareholders’ short-term investment or
liquidity needs. More information creates more opportunity for dialogue
with our shareholders—dialogue that we encourage as it creates a forum
for investors to get a better understanding of how we manage money, why
we buy and sell what we do, and how our conservative investment
philosophy has allowed us to safely navigate throughout every market
environment for the past four decades.
Taxable Funds
Within our prime funds, we have greatly reduced our holdings in European
banks and have continued our strategy to find attractive paper in
non-Euro-based countries within Europe (Denmark, Sweden, UK), outside of
Europe (Japan, Australia, Canada), and in high-quality corporate
issuers. Exposure to Euro-based banks in our prime portfolios is mostly
constrained to overnight investment. We are finding the most value in
LIBOR-based paper with maturities of one to three months, helping to
offset dismal overnight and Treasury returns, which are hovering at all
time lows. Variable Rate Demand Notes (VRDNs), typically used in
tax-exempt portfolios, are attractive on a relative basis and continue
to be used to generate competitive yield while maintaining 1 and 7-day
liquidity options.
Tax-Free Funds
The sentiment within the municipal markets has improved over the past
several months. Nervousness that was created from the 2011 bankruptcies
of Jefferson County, Alabama, and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, turned from
a “Who’s next?” moment into somewhat of a catalyst for reform at the
state level. Cost cutting measures put in place have contributed to the
improving health of municipalities, and tax receipts have made a
positive turn and have improved moderately. Note issuance has not
changed noticeably from mid-2011 levels and we continue to find value in
VRDNs, tax-exempt general obligation notes and bonds, and select school
districts.
Conclusion
The fourth quarter and the rest of 2011 dealt the money fund industry a
hand that would make even the most stoic poker faces wince. It truly tested
the mettle of money fund managers across the board and has forced some of
the competition to close its doors or merge with other fund companies. With
interest rates expected to stay at current levels likely for the short and
medium term, and with expense ratios being cut to afford shareholders
competitive returns, we expect this trend toward consolidation to continue
in 2012. We are pleased to report that Reich & Tang’s strategy and
conservative investment philosophy has weathered yet another difficult year
and, as a result, became an even stronger organization that is uniquely
prepared to excel in 2012.
We will continue our efforts to provide the most transparency in money fund portfolios, which has been extremely well-received with our shareholder base to date. In these unprecedented times, with uncertainty abound in global markets, we feel it is our responsibility to ensure that our shareholders have full access to the information that guides their important investment decisions. We thank you for your business in 2011 and look forward to serving your liquidity and short-term investment needs in 2012.
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The views expressed in this commentary do not constitute investment advice or recommendations to purchase or sell individual securities. Views are current as of the dates indicated and are subject to change at any point subsequent to those dates.
Please consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the money market funds carefully before investing. The prospectus contains this and other information about the funds. Please read it carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus, please call Reich & Tang at 800-433-1918.
An investment in money market funds is not insured or guaranteed by the FDIC or any other governmental agency. Although the funds seek to preserve the value of your investment at $1.00 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in the funds.
Credit ratings do not provide assurance against default or other loss of money and can change.
Money market funds distributed by Reich & Tang Distributors, Inc.
February 1, 2012
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